NEAM 'secret' portfolio (Q2 2026)
$863M
Wholly-owned by General Re (Berkshire subsidiary); reported in NEAM's separate 13F, not Berkshire's main filing
Berkshire main fund net purchases (Q2 2026)
+$19.8B
First net buyer quarter in 14 quarters, per Q2 2026 13F filed Aug. 14, 2026
Alphabet added by Berkshire (Q2 2026)
+$17B
~24.5M GOOGL ($7.9B) + ~23.6M GOOG ($7.6B); plus a separate $10B private placement from Alphabet
NEAM Broadcom exit (Q2 2026)
97%
Cut a 6,605-share position to a ~198-share stub; positions dated to Q2 2026 13F window
Pershing Square Alphabet (end Q2 2026)
0 shares
Fully exited ~344K shares held at start of Q2; prior Q1 cut was ~95%
NEAM allocation to S&P 500 ETFs
17.3%
~76.1M shares of SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust + ~73.2M shares of Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
The 'Secret' Is Just a Regulated Subsidiary
The Oct. 7 framing of a Berkshire 'secret portfolio' refers to New England Asset Management (NEAM), a wholly-owned investment subsidiary inside General Re, which Berkshire Hathaway acquired in 1998. NEAM files its own 13F, so its $863M in equities never shows up inside Berkshire's main $299B equity filing — and that filing gap is what makes the book 'secret' to anyone who only reads [brk-b]'s primary disclosure.
The structural point matters for interpretation. NEAM runs separate accounts for insurance clients under fiduciary duty; its portfolio decisions are made by its own investment committee, not by Buffett, Abel, or Weschler. When NEAM trimmed Alphabet Class A by 48% in Q2 and cut Broadcom by 97% (from a 6,605-share position to ~198 shares), that is a NEAM trade — not a Berkshire main-fund vote on AI. Treating it as a [brk-b] tell is the same mistake as reading a subsidiary insurance float decision as Buffett's stock-picking signal.
- NEAM sits inside General Re (Berkshire subsidiary since 1998) and files a separate 13F, which is why the $863M never appears in [brk-b]'s main $299B filing
- NEAM's $863M represents ~0.29% of Berkshire's $299.3B 13F-reportable equity book at Q2 2026 — context, not portfolio direction
- Insurance-subsidiary trades have always diverged from Berkshire's main equity portfolio; the same Morningstar note documented that pre-2023 with a $645M carve-out
- Reading NEAM as 'Berkshire dumping AI' is the inversion of reading a Treasury bill purchase as Buffett buying duration
While NEAM Sold, the Main Fund Bought $17B of Alphabet
Berkshire's Q2 2026 13F, filed Aug. 14, 2026, shows the parent fund ended a 14-quarter net-selling streak with $19.8B of net equity purchases — $23.5B bought against just $3.7B sold. Alphabet absorbed the bulk of that bid: about 24.5M Class A shares ($7.9B) and 23.6M Class C shares ($7.6B) added during the quarter, plus a separate $10B private placement bought directly from Alphabet at the issuer level — roughly 60% of the 48.1M shares added came through that block.
The end-Q2 stack is now 78.79M GOOGL shares ($28.16B) plus 27.19M GOOG shares ($9.61B) — a combined $37.77B Alphabet position that is the third-largest issuer holding in the portfolio, behind only Apple ($65.95B) and American Express ($51.28B). On a combined-share-count basis, Berkshire lifted its Alphabet stake ~83% in a single quarter, the largest single-name increase in the filing.
| Issuer | Ticker | Issuer-level value | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apple | Apple | $65.95B | 1 |
| American Express | American Express | $51.28B | 2 |
| Alphabet (Class A + C) | Alphabet | $37.77B | 3 |
| Coca-Cola / Bank of America cluster | — | ~$25B each | 4–5 |
The pattern matters more than the print. NEAM trimmed AI exposure inside an $863M book; Berkshire main simultaneously added AI exposure inside a $299B book. A 'smart money is selling' thesis requires the larger book to be the seller — and it isn't.
Ackman, Tiger and Burry Are Pulling the Same Direction — Just Bigger
The Q2 13F tape does show a genuine exodus from Alphabet among other marquee names, just not from Berkshire. Bill Ackman's Pershing Square fully exited Alphabet in Q2: the 311,726 Class C shares and 32,376 Class A shares left over from a Q1 95% cut were sold out, leaving zero Alphabet exposure in the $19.5B, 14-position portfolio. Q2 new buys rotated into Netflix, [Visa], [Mastercard], [S&P Global] and the new Pershing Square USA vehicle — not into AI infrastructure.
Tiger Global / Cubed cut its Alphabet stake 45% in Q2, H&H (Duan Yongping) trimmed GOOG 47%, and Atreides cut GOOGL 12%. On the buy side, [Baillie Gifford] lifted GOOGL ~44% and Stanley Druckenmiller's Duquesne opened a fresh $120M GOOGL stake. The Q2 split is unusually clean: most of the publicly visible sellers are macro/tactical managers, most of the visible buyers are long-duration quality holders.
Michael Burry's Scion — in what the manager has flagged as his final 13F as he deregisters the firm — disclosed 50,000 put options on Palantir with $912M notional and 10,000 puts on Nvidia. He shed the December 2026 puts on both names but kept 2027-dated PLTR puts and direct short equity in both stocks, alongside disclosed shorts in Oracle, Nebius and Caterpillar. Burry's stated view is that AI-related names trade at dotcom-era multiples on circular financing.
| Manager | Direction | Magnitude | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Berkshire Hathaway (main) | Bought | +83% combined share count; +$17B | Berkshire Q2 2026 13F |
| Baillie Gifford | Bought | +44% GOOGL | Q2 2026 13F overlap analysis |
| Duquesne (Druckenmiller) | Bought | New $120M GOOGL stake | Q2 2026 13F overlap analysis |
| Tiger Global / Cubed | Sold | -45% Alphabet | Q2 2026 13F overlap analysis |
| Pershing Square (Ackman) | Sold | 100% exit (Q2 completion) | Pershing Square Q2 2026 13F |
| NEAM (Berkshire sub) | Sold | -48% GOOGL; -97% AVGO | NEAM Q2 2026 13F (separate filing) |
What the Supply Chain Reads From the Divergence
The Alphabet/Broadcom exit trade has two transmission paths. For Broadcom, the customer base is hyperscaler ASICs and AI-networking silicon — Alphabet's TPU, Meta's MTIA, Microsoft's Maia and the broader Top-of-Rack Ethernet switch market. NEAM's 97% AVGO trim and Burry's broader AI skepticism would, if it spread to other large allocators, slow the AI-capex order book at Taiwan Semiconductor and cap AVGO's multiple. Today, the order book is intact: hyperscaler 2026 capex guides remain up double digits, and AVGO's networking backlog is sold out into 2027.
For Alphabet, the supply chain is internal — Google controls its own TPU silicon (with Broadcom as the principal co-developer), runs its own data centers, and increasingly layers Gemini across Search, Cloud and Android. A 48% NEAM trim and an Ackman exit do nothing to Google's $80B-plus 2026 capex run rate; [brk-b]'s $17B Q2 buy, if anything, validates the capex story to other institutional holders.
- Upstream: Taiwan Semiconductor remains the chokepoint — both AVGO AI silicon and Google's TPU wafers run through TSMC's N3/N5 lines, so the hyperscaler capex signal matters more for TSM than for AVGO's share price directly
- Upstream: SK Hynix and Samsung are the HBM gatekeepers for the Nvidia-side of the AI buildout, untouched by the Alphabet/Broadcom rotation
- Downstream: Meta, Microsoft and Amazon are the other three AVGO AI-revenue customers; their 13F behavior over Q2 was mixed (Ackman bought MSFT, others trimmed) — not a coordinated exit
- Downstream: Netflix is the rotation trade Ackman actually funded with his Alphabet exit — non-AI infrastructure with subscription cash flow, a thematic shift visible across other Q2 filings
Near-Term: The Q3 13F Is the Real Catalyst
Between now and mid-November, two data points will tell us whether the NEAM/Ackman/Tiger trim is the start of an AI-leader de-rating or a one-quarter tactical move. The first is Berkshire's Q3 2026 13F, due 45 days after Sept. 30 — a second consecutive net buyer quarter with another large Alphabet print would force a re-rating of the 'Buffett rotates out of AI winners' narrative; a flat or trimming quarter would vindicate it. The second is Pershing Square's Q3 13F, which will show whether Ackman rotated back into Alphabet or stayed in Netflix/Visa/Mastercard.
Over a 1–3 year horizon, the structural question is whether the AI-capex curve flattens. Burry's 2027-dated PLTR puts and his Nvidia short express the bear case: AI revenue compounds but capex compounds faster, so the integrated AI vendors compress to commodity multiples. The bull case — the one Berkshire main is voting for with $17B of incremental Alphabet in a single quarter — is that Search, Cloud and Android monetize the new inference layer with operating leverage that hardware capex cannot erode. Q3 prints will move the tape; the Q3 prints will not settle that debate.
Alphabet position movement, named managers, Q2 2026
Percent change in Alphabet share count held, Q2 2026 vs. Q1 2026
Unit: %
Berkshire main
+$17B; both classes combined
83
Baillie Gifford
GOOGL only
44
Duquesne
New $120M GOOGL stake
100
H&H (Duan)
GOOG
-47
Tiger Global
Alphabet combined
-45
Pershing Square
Full exit, both classes
-100
NEAM (Berkshire sub)
GOOGL; separate 13F
-48
Investable names
- Berkshire Hathaway main fund added ~$17B in Q2 — the $863M NEAM sub-portfolio trim was 0.3% of that bid, leaving the dominant institutional vote firmly bullish.
- Ackman's 100% Q2 exit and Tiger's 45% cut are real headwinds, but Baillie Gifford (+44%) and Duquesne (new $120M) show long-duration buyers are absorbing supply at $356-area prices.
- Q3 13F window mid-November is the binary catalyst: a second consecutive Berkshire buy confirms the [brk-b] thesis; a flat print opens the door to a re-test of the Q1 lows.
- NEAM dumped 97% of its 6,605-share position — small in dollars but symbolically clean given the [brk-b] parent.
- Hyperscaler AI-revenue book (Alphabet, Meta, Microsoft) is sold out into 2027, which offsets near-term allocator trim risk; valuation at ~25x sales is the more binding constraint.
- Burry's broader AI skepticism is the bear overhang — if his puts on Nvidia and Palantir work, AVGO multiple compression follows within 1–2 quarters.
- Still [brk-b]'s #1 holding at $65.95B — Alphabet's surge does not displace it, but a Q3 Alphabet add at Apple's expense would be the first rotation signal of the Abel era.
- Indirect AI exposure through on-device silicon and the Services/Intelligence layer makes AAPL the natural second-leg beneficiary if the AI-capex story holds.
- Less direct leverage to the Broadcom order book than the headline implies; risk-reward is more about Berkshire allocation than fundamentals.
- Pershing Square's #3 holding at $2.32B (11.9% of portfolio) — Ackman rotated FROM Alphabet INTO Microsoft, reading the same hyperscaler capex as Berkshire Hathaway but via different rails.
- Diversifies the AI-infrastructure exposure away from a single name; if Alphabet de-rates 10–15% on the Q3 13F, MSFT is the likeliest institutional substitute.
- Maia AI silicon ties it back to the Broadcom customer book; bears watching if Burry's AI-skepticism thesis spreads to Azure capex guides.
- Burry holds direct short equity plus a 2027-dated put book — the binary catalyst is AI capex guidance from hyperscalers through the Q4 2026 reporting cycle.
- Burry shed the December 2026 puts and kept 2027 puts — implies he expects the unwind to take 12–18 months, not weeks.
- Sits upstream of both Alphabet (HBM/memory partner) and Broadcom (networking competitor); AI-capex direction is the single biggest input to the multiple.
- The chokepoint for both Broadcom AI silicon and Alphabet's TPU wafers — even if allocator trimming forces AVGO and GOOGL to de-rate, TSMC's order book is still sold out into 2027.
- Hyperscaler capex revisions are the single biggest input; [brk-b]'s $17B Alphabet bet is an indirect vote that AI-wafer demand stays firm.
- Long-duration bet: if Burry's dotcom-comparison thesis plays out, TSM is the last to break because wafer supply is rationed, not discretionary.
- Broadcom customer for MTIA training silicon — direct read-through if AVGO AI revenue guidance softens at any 2027 update.
- Did not appear in the Pershing Square Q2 13F at all despite being part of the same Magnificent Seven rotation theme.
- Capex guide is the catalyst: a flat-to-down 2027 print would confirm the [brk-b] AI-capex thesis is wrong before the chip suppliers even report.
- The single largest new position Ackman opened with the Alphabet proceeds — a thematic read on AI infrastructure being over-owned relative to subscription-cash-flow comps.
- Not a direct beneficiary of either the Alphabet or Broadcom story, but the cleanest expression of the 'rotate out of AI infra' trade visible in Q2 filings.
- Risk: if Burry's AI-bubble thesis is wrong and the AI capex supercycle extends, the rotation back to AI names would hurt NFLX's relative performance within 1–2 quarters.
